0004 Random walk in 2 lines of J
by Asindu
Of all the many programming languages, none has quite caught my attention like the “Iversonian” programming languages, that is, languages like APL, Shakti, Ivy, BQN and J - the subject of this blog post.
One misconception is that languages like J are in the same caliber as Brain F**k and other esoteric or golfing languages which are mostly for recreational programming. Languages like J however were designed to be a replacement to traditional maths notation - an interface for thinking or a tool of thought as their inventor Kenneth E. Iverson called them in his Turing Award lecture.
In this blog post I am going to introduce the J programming language by using it as a “tool of thought” to explain the 1 dimensional random walk.
To try out the code yourself you will have to install the J interpreter. The easiest way to get it working on Mac is through running the brew formula brew install --cask j
. For other platforms,
see the installation instructions.
First, a random walk in 5 lines. #
The 1 dimensional random walk is a toy model used in finance for creating what may look like stock market prices. In it’s simplest form, a 1 dimensional random walk consists of;
- Several steps (a list of values), and at each step (for each value) it is either up (indicated by
+1
) or down (indicated by-1
). - Note that the value of each step
-1
or+1
is chosen at random. Hence the term ‘random walk’. So a random walk is basically a list of-1
and+1
generated at random. - To attain the ‘synthetic price’ or what looks like stock prices, we simply compute the running sum of this list of random
-1
and+1
integers.
The entire toy model of prices we described above is created using the J code below. Let me describe how.
load 'plot' NB. Import the utility for plotting charts
indices =: ? 100#2 NB. Generate indices
walks =: indices { _1 1 NB. Use indices to create list of -1 & +1 integers
running_sum =: +/\ walks NB. Compute synthetic price
plot running_sum NB. Plot the running sum
Generating indices. #
An index refers to the position of an item in a list. For example, the list 1 2 3 4
has the indices 0
for 1
, 2
, 3
, with the index 0
referring to 1
, the index 1
referring to 2
, the index 2
referring to 3
and the index 3
referring to 4
.
Line 2, indices =: ? 100#2
generates indices as follows.
The #
symbol takes in two values 2
and 100
and what it does is that it “copies” 2
into an list 100
times. For example 5#1
copies 1
five times to give 1 1 1 1 1
. So 100#2
returns 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ... 2
up to the 100’th 2
.
The ?
symbol generates random numbers, you can think of it as rolling a dice. For example, ? 5
may randomly return 0
, 1
, 2
, 3
or 4
. So ? 5
can be read as “generate a random number below 5”, 0
is included since the values ?
generates are always greater than or equal to 0
.
And finally to generate a list of random numbers, we simply give ?
a list of numbers for example ? 3 3 3 3 3
may generate 1 1 0 2 2
i.e 5 random numbers under 3
.
Recall that in line 2, 100#2
generates a list of one hundred 2
’s. ?
then takes the list of one hundred 2
’s and for each 2
it generates a random number less than 2
i.e 0
or 1
.
? 100#2
can be read as “generate a list one hundred 2’s and for each item in the list, generate a random integer less that 2”. This will return a random list of 100 items made up of exclusively 1’s and 0’s looking like 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 ...
. We then store this in a variable called indices
using =:
This is what we shall use as our indices.
Use indices to create list of -1 & +1 integers. #
In line 3, we use our list of 0’s and 1’s as indices to generate a random walk (random list made up of -1’s & +1’s).
To do this, we use the symbol {
in indices { _1 1
that takes in two sets of values, first is the variable indices
which is a list of randomly generated 1’s & 0’s. On the other side of {
is _1 1
, which represent the directions of our random walk _1
for -1
(down) and 1
for +1
or (up).
What {
does is that it “pulls” items from a list given an index.
The list _1 1
has the indices 0
for _1
and 1
for 1
, recall that an index refers to the position of an item in the list. So the statement 0 { _1 1
would return _1
and 1 { _1 1
returns 1
from the list.
A list of indices would also return a list of items, for instance 1 0 0 1 { _1 1
would return 1 _1 _1 1
. Which is similar to what indices { _1 1
is doing. Since indices
is a list of random one hundred 1’s and 0’s it will also randomly pull out a list of _1
and 1
thus giving us a list like _1 _1 1 1 _1 _1 _1 _1 _1 _1 1 _1 ...
up to the one hundredth index. Which is the random walk of 100 steps.
We also store this list into a variable walks
using =:
.
Compute the synthetic prices. #
In line 4 we use +/\
the running sum of the random walk. For example +/\ 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
computes the running sum of seven 1’s, which gives us 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
. Which is exactly what we do with +/\ walks
.
Since walks
is made up of randomly generated _1
and 1
, it’s running sum will equally fluctuate up and down. The running sum of 1 _1 1 _1 _1 _1 1 1 1 _1 _1
will look like 1 0 1 0 _1 _2 _1 0 1 0 _1
The running sum (synthetic price) +/\ walks
is then stored inside the variable running_sum
with =:
A random walk in 2 lines. #
This post was supposed how to create a random walk in 2 lines of J. So below is the exact code above refactored to run in two lines.
load 'plot' NB. Import the plot library
plot +/\ (?100#2) { _1 1 NB. Plot synthetic price/ random walk
Adjusting step size #
100
denotes the number of steps the random walk takes. The more the steps the closer to actual stock prices the plot will look like.